Geo Political Risk

[Davexl]

Originally Posted by Davexl

Also could part of the calculus be that if war in the future is deemed almost inevitable, better for the US to provoke something earlier that is winnable, whereas China would want to defer the challenge until they are stronger? Or do both parties understand that the level of economic coupling is so great at this point that it's lose-lose in any case?

Wars are fought by the military, but they are started and ended by politicians.

What would a US military victory over China entail? What would the US war aims be? How would the US know if they had achieved those aims?

Neutralising China's paramilitary forces from occupying littoral states EEZ's, Affirming the standing of UNCLOS international law, China's CCP pulling its head in.