sharetrader

Thread: AIR - Air NZ.

  1. #15741
    Legend peat's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    Whanganui, New Zealand.
    Posts
    6,445

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lease View Post
    And the more it drops, the more I'll buy.
    hope you are loaded this is not a company individuals can affect the price
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  2. #15742
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2016
    Posts
    1,084

    Default

    Good move by selling travel insurance. But I bet it must be expensive to buy, or losses could just make the company go down the gurgler faster.

  3. #15743

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lease View Post
    PE range between 7-13. Take the midpoint of PE at 10.
    Interesting, the PE range I see from that data is 2.00 - 20.53... and when you consider the dividend about to paid (ex div tomorrow)... that is an example of stupid skewing for the analysis of the real current position of this stock using only PE.

  4. #15744
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    , , .
    Posts
    38,156

    Default

    Lease ...would you change your view if EPS coming up is around the 2011/2012 mark
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #15745
    Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    364

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Independent Observer AUNZ View Post
    Interesting, the PE range I see from that data is 2.00 - 20.53... and when you consider the dividend about to paid (ex div tomorrow)... that is an example of stupid skewing for the analysis of the real current position of this stock using only PE.
    Its average PE range over the last 15 years. If you have smarter way to analyse, please share with us.

  6. #15746

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lease View Post
    Its average PE range over the last 15 years. If you have smarter way to analyse, please share with us.
    My approach is fairly simple; Past performance is not an indicator of future performance; I'd prefer to take a look at the current balance sheet, risks, fixed overhead, and earnings potential. All of these point to a few years of difficulty. Then add climate change to the mix. I'm not as pessimistic as Beagle, especially noting the government guarantee backstop, but I'm certainly not buying any time soon.

  7. #15747
    Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    364

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Lease ...would you change your view if EPS coming up is around the 2011/2012 mark
    No, as I said, I'm looking AIR in five years time. So if eps come down that level, SP may drop under $1, and I'll be happy to buy more.

    Very important to have cash on hand when cheap shares are on the street.

  8. #15748
    Member
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    364

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Independent Observer AUNZ View Post
    My approach is fairly simple; Past performance is not an indicator of future performance; I'd prefer to take a look at the current balance sheet, risks, fixed overhead, and earnings potential. All of these point to a few years of difficulty. Then add climate change to the mix. I'm not as pessimistic as Beagle, especially noting the government guarantee backstop, but I'm certainly not buying any time soon.
    Well I'm not saying AIR NZ won't experience a few years difficulty. Rather I'm happy with that as SP can only drop during the difficult period, and I can take the chance to accumulate.

    And I don't think your way is smart enough.
    Last edited by Lease; 11-03-2020 at 01:51 PM.

  9. #15749

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lease View Post
    Well I'm not saying AIR NZ won't experience a few years difficulty. Rather I'm happy with that as SP can only drop during the difficult period, and I can take the chance to accumulate.
    Yep - I hope it works out for you - NZ needs a strong national airline.

  10. #15750
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    9,497

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Blue Horseshoe View Post
    This could cost them dearly, what does it cost for treatment in a US hospital icu bed per night.
    I don't think that AIR is underwriting this insurance ... however it found an insurer who does :
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •